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Mortgage Rates on FIRE! Home Prices Up in Smoke?

Mortgage interest rates have already risen by over a quarter of a percentage point in 2018. Many are projecting that rates could increase to 5% by the end of the year.

What impact will rising rates have on house values?

Many quickly jump to the conclusion that an increase in mortgage rates will have a detrimental impact on real estate prices as fewer buyers will be able to qualify for a loan. This seems logical; if there is less demand for housing then prices will drop.

However, in a good economy, rising mortgage rates increase demand as many prospective purchasers immediately jump off the fence to guarantee they get the lower rate.

Let’s look at home prices the last four times mortgage rates increased dramatically.

Mortgage Rates on FIRE! Home Prices Up in Smoke? | MyKCM

In each case, home prices APPRECIATED and did not depreciate. No one is projecting as dramatic an increase in rates as the examples above. Most are projecting an increase of approximately 1% by the end of the year.

The last time mortgage rates increased by 1% over a twelve-month period was January 2013 (3.41%) to January 2014 (4.43%). What happened to house prices during that span? They appreciated by 9.8%.

Just two weeks ago, Rick Palacios Jr., Director of Research at John Burns Real Estate Consulting explained:

“Mortgage rates have risen 1% or more ten times in the last 43 years, with little impact on home sales and prices when the economy was also strong…Historically, rising confidence, solid job growth, and higher wages have more than offset reduced demand for housing resulting from higher mortgage rates.”

Bottom Line

When mortgage rates increase, history has shown that prices appreciate (and do not depreciate) during that same time span.

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About Area

Blairsville, Georgia is a small mountain town located in the beautiful Blue Ridge Mountains. Widely known for being one of the most desirable destinations for outdoor adventurers, people come to Blairsville for mountain biking, hiking, fishing or just to marvel at the perfect beauty of nature. A large portion of the area is in the Chattahoochee National Forest, and therefore, will remain untouched and naturally serene and beautiful. In 1942 Lake Nottely was created by the Tennessee Valley Authority for power production. The resulting 4,180 acre lake today is a source of Summer fun, with boating, fishing and swimming abundant, and the river that feeds the lake offers some of the best trout fishing in the state. Vogel State Park, located just outside of town, is centered around Trahlyta Lake and Trahlyta Falls. With rustic cabins on site, and primitive camp sites, you can stay for days or weeks and enjoy swimming, paddle boating and fishing in the lake, hike to the falls, or even play putt-putt. Just beyond Vogel State Park are several more waterfalls with hiking trails and areas to camp, fish, or play in the creek. In addition to all of the majestic waterways running through the valleys, the highest elevation in the state of Georgia is in Blairsville, on top of Brasstown Bald Mountain. Here, you can hike up to the visitor’s center (or take a shuttle) where you have a 360⁰ view, and can see four different states on a clear day, have a picnic, visit the gift shop, and if you’re feeling adventurous, take one of the longer hiking trails, one of which leads to the Appalachian Trail. You won’t be surrounded by department stores or chain restaurants in Blairsville, but you can find handcrafted, original creations in the small shops, or if you visit the Farmer’s Market or one of the many festivals throughout the year. This is certainly a beautiful and unique town worth seeing, perhaps you’ll even want to stay, and if that’s the case, contact your Century 21 Scenic Realty. We are always here for you!

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