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Will Home Prices Fall as Mortgage Rates Rise?

Mortgage interest rates have increased by more than half of a point since the beginning of the year. They are projected to increase by an additional half of a point by year’s end. Because of this increase in rates, some are guessing that home prices will depreciate.

However, some prominent experts in the housing industry doubt that home values will be negatively impacted by the rise in rates.

Mark Fleming, First American’s Chief Economist:

“Understanding the resiliency of the housing market in a rising mortgage rate environment puts the likely rise in mortgage rates into perspective – they are unlikely to materially impact the housing market…

The driving force behind the increase are healthy economic conditions…The healthy economy encourages more homeownership demand and spurs household income growth, which increases consumer house-buying power. Mortgage rates are on the rise because of a stronger economy and our housing market is well positioned to adapt.”

Terry Loebs, Founder of Pulsenomics:

“Constrained home supply, persistent demand, very low unemployment, and steady economic growth have given a jolt to the near-term outlook for U.S. home prices. These conditions are overshadowing concerns that mortgage rate increases expected this year might quash the appetite of prospective home buyers.”

Laurie Goodman, Codirector of the Housing Finance Policy Center at the Urban Institute:

“Higher interest rates are generally positive for home prices, despite decreasing affordability…There were only three periods of prolonged higher rates in 1994, 2000, and the ‘taper tantrum’ in 2013. In each period, home price appreciation was robust.”

Industry reports are also calling for substantial home price appreciation this year. Here are three examples:

Bottom Line

As Freddie Mac reported earlier this year in their Insights Report, “Nowhere to go but up? How increasing mortgage rates could affect housing,”

“As mortgage rates increase, the demand for home purchases will likely remain strong relative to the constrained supply and continue to put upward pressure on home prices.”

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About Area

Blairsville, Georgia is a small mountain town located in the beautiful Blue Ridge Mountains. Widely known for being one of the most desirable destinations for outdoor adventurers, people come to Blairsville for mountain biking, hiking, fishing or just to marvel at the perfect beauty of nature. A large portion of the area is in the Chattahoochee National Forest, and therefore, will remain untouched and naturally serene and beautiful. In 1942 Lake Nottely was created by the Tennessee Valley Authority for power production. The resulting 4,180 acre lake today is a source of Summer fun, with boating, fishing and swimming abundant, and the river that feeds the lake offers some of the best trout fishing in the state. Vogel State Park, located just outside of town, is centered around Trahlyta Lake and Trahlyta Falls. With rustic cabins on site, and primitive camp sites, you can stay for days or weeks and enjoy swimming, paddle boating and fishing in the lake, hike to the falls, or even play putt-putt. Just beyond Vogel State Park are several more waterfalls with hiking trails and areas to camp, fish, or play in the creek. In addition to all of the majestic waterways running through the valleys, the highest elevation in the state of Georgia is in Blairsville, on top of Brasstown Bald Mountain. Here, you can hike up to the visitor’s center (or take a shuttle) where you have a 360⁰ view, and can see four different states on a clear day, have a picnic, visit the gift shop, and if you’re feeling adventurous, take one of the longer hiking trails, one of which leads to the Appalachian Trail. You won’t be surrounded by department stores or chain restaurants in Blairsville, but you can find handcrafted, original creations in the small shops, or if you visit the Farmer’s Market or one of the many festivals throughout the year. This is certainly a beautiful and unique town worth seeing, perhaps you’ll even want to stay, and if that’s the case, contact your Century 21 Scenic Realty. We are always here for you!

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