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Did Tax Reform Kill the Luxury Market? NOT SO FAR!

The new tax code limits the deduction of state and local property taxes, as well as income or sales taxes, to a total of $10,000. When the tax reform legislation was put into law at the beginning of the year, some experts felt that it could have a negative impact on the luxury housing market.

Capital Economics:

“The impact on expensive homes could be detrimental, with a limit on the MID raising taxes for those that itemize.”

Mark Zandi of Moody’s Analytics:

“The impact on house prices is much greater for higher-priced homes, especially in parts of the country where incomes are higher and there are thus a disproportionate number of itemizers, and where homeowners have big mortgages and property tax bills.”

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) predicted price declines in “high cost, higher tax areas” because of the tax changes. They forecasted a depreciation of 6.2% in New Jersey and 4.8% in Washington D.C. and New York.

What has actually happened?

Here are a few metrics to consider before we write-off the luxury market:

1. According to NAR’s latest Existing Home Sales Report, here is the percent change in sales from last year:

  • Homes sales between $500,000 – $750,000 are up 11.9%
  • Homes sales between $750,000 – $1M are up 16.8%
  • Homes sales over $1,000,000 are up 26.7%

2. In a report from Trulia, it was revealed that searches for “premium” homes as a percentage of all searches increased from 38.4% in the fourth quarter of 2017 to 41.4% in the first quarter of 2018.

3. According to an article from Bloomberg:

“Median home values nationally rose 8 percent in March compared with a year earlier, while neighborhoods of San Francisco and San Jose, California, have increased more than 25 percent.

Prices in affluent areas in Delaware and New York, such as the Hamptons, also surged more than 20 percent.”

Bottom Line

Aaron Terrazas, Zillow’s Senior Economist, probably summed up real estate’s luxury market the best:

“We are seeing the opposite of what was expected. We have certainly not seen the doomsday predictions play out.”

Rick Andrews | Century 21 Scenic Realty | 706.896.8633 (O) | 828.557.9139 (C)

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About Area

Blairsville, Georgia is a small mountain town located in the beautiful Blue Ridge Mountains. Widely known for being one of the most desirable destinations for outdoor adventurers, people come to Blairsville for mountain biking, hiking, fishing or just to marvel at the perfect beauty of nature. A large portion of the area is in the Chattahoochee National Forest, and therefore, will remain untouched and naturally serene and beautiful. In 1942 Lake Nottely was created by the Tennessee Valley Authority for power production. The resulting 4,180 acre lake today is a source of Summer fun, with boating, fishing and swimming abundant, and the river that feeds the lake offers some of the best trout fishing in the state. Vogel State Park, located just outside of town, is centered around Trahlyta Lake and Trahlyta Falls. With rustic cabins on site, and primitive camp sites, you can stay for days or weeks and enjoy swimming, paddle boating and fishing in the lake, hike to the falls, or even play putt-putt. Just beyond Vogel State Park are several more waterfalls with hiking trails and areas to camp, fish, or play in the creek. In addition to all of the majestic waterways running through the valleys, the highest elevation in the state of Georgia is in Blairsville, on top of Brasstown Bald Mountain. Here, you can hike up to the visitor’s center (or take a shuttle) where you have a 360⁰ view, and can see four different states on a clear day, have a picnic, visit the gift shop, and if you’re feeling adventurous, take one of the longer hiking trails, one of which leads to the Appalachian Trail. You won’t be surrounded by department stores or chain restaurants in Blairsville, but you can find handcrafted, original creations in the small shops, or if you visit the Farmer’s Market or one of the many festivals throughout the year. This is certainly a beautiful and unique town worth seeing, perhaps you’ll even want to stay, and if that’s the case, contact your Century 21 Scenic Realty. We are always here for you!

Featured Properties

3965 TRACKROCK GAP RD,
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191 MIDDLE ROAD,
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202 CREEKMONT DRIVE,
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